概率论基础教程

overview

contents

1 CombinatorialAnalysis
1.1 Introduction
1.2 TheBasicPrincipleofCounting
1.3 Permutations
1.4 Combinations
1.5 MultinomialCoefficients
1.6 TheNumberofIntegerSolutlonsofEquations
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
2 AxiomsofProbability
2.1 Introduction
2.2 SampleSpaceandEvents
2.3 AxiomsofProbability
2.4 SomeSimplePropositions
2.5 SampleSpaceHavingEquallyLikelyOutcomes 33
2.6 ProbabilityasaContinuousSetFunction
2.7 ProbabilityasaMeasureofBelief
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
3 ConditionalProbabilityandIndependence
3.1 Introduction
3.2 ConditionalProbabilities
3.3 Bayes'sFormula
3.4 IndependentEvents
3.5 P(·|F)IsaProbability
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
4 RandomVariables
4.1 RandomVariables
4.2 DiscreteRandomVariables
4.3 ExpectedValue
4.4 ExpectationofaFunctionofaRandomVariable
4.5 Variance
4.6 TheBernoulhandBinomialRandomVariables
4.6.1 PropertiesofBinomialRandomVariables
4.6.2 ComputingtheBinomialDistributionFunction
4.7 ThePoissonRandomVariable
4.7.1 ComputingthePoissonDistributionFunction
4.8 OtherDiscreteProbabilityDistributions
4.8.1 TheGeometricRandomVariable
4.8.2 TheNegativeBinomialRandomVariable
4.8.3 TheHypergeometricRandomVariable
4.8.4 TheZeta(orZipf)Distribution
4.9 ExpectedValueofSumsofRandomVariables
4.10 PropertiesoftheCumulativeDistributionFunction
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
5 ContinuousRandomVariables
51 Introduction
5.2 ExpectationandVarianceofContinuousRandomVariables
5.3 TheUniformRandomVariable
5.4 NormalRandomVariables
5.4.1 TheNormalApproximationtotheBinomialDistribution
5.5 ExponentialRandomVariables
5.5.1 HazardRateFunctions
5.6 OtherContinuousDistributions
5.6.1 TheGammaDlstrlbutlon
5.6.2 TheWeibullDlStrlbutlon
5.6.3 TheCauchyDistribution
5.6.4 TheBetaDlStrlbutlon
5.7 TheDistributionofaFunctionofaRandomVariable
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
6 JointlyDistributedRandomVariables
6.1 JointDistributionFunctions
6.2 IndependentRandomVariables
6.3 SumsofIndependentRandomVariables
6.3.1 IdenticallyDistributedUniformRandomVariables
6.3.2 GammaRandomVariables
6.3.3 NormalRandomVariables
6.3.4 PolssonandBinomialRandomVariables
635 GeometricRandomVariables
6.4 ConditionalDistribution：DiscreteCase
6.5 ConditionalDistribution：ContinuousCase
66 OrderStatistics
6.7 JointProbabilityDistributionofFunctionsofRandomVariables
6.8 ExciaanzeaoleRandomVariables
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
SelfTestProblemsandExercises
7 PropertiesofExpectation
7.1 Introduction
7.2 ExpectationofSumsofRandomVariablviatheProbabilisticMethod
7.2.2 TheMaximum-MinimumsIdentity
7.3 MomentsoftheNumberofEventsthatOccur
7.4 Covariance,VarianceofSums,andCorrelations
7.5 ConditionalExpectation
7.5.1 Definitions
7.5.2 ComputingExpectationsbyConditioning
7.5.3 ComputingProbabilitiesbyConditioning
7.5.4 ConditionalVariance
7.6 ConditionalExpectationandPrediction
7.7 MomentGeneratingFunctions
7.7.1 JointMomentGeneratingFunctions
7.8 AddltlonaproprietariesofNormalRandomVariables
7.8.1 TheMultivariateNormalDlstrlbution
7.8.2 TheJointDistributionoftheSampleMeanandSampleVariance
7.9 GeneralDefinitionofExpectation
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
8 LimitTheorems
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Chebyshev'sInequalityandtheWeakLawofLargeNumbers
8.3 TheCentralLimitTheorem
8.4 TheStrongLawofLargeNumbers
8.5 OtherInequamles
8.6 BoundingtheErrorProbabilityWhenApproximatingaSumofIndependentBernoulliRandomVariablesbyaPoissonRandomVariable
Summary
Problems
TheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
9 AdditionalTopicsinProbability
9.1 ThePoissonProcess
9.2 MarkovChains
9.3 Surprise,Uncertainty,andEntropy
9.4 CodingTheoryandEntropy
Summary
ProblemsandTheoreticalExercises
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
References
10 Simulation
10.1 Introduction
10.2 GeneralTechniquesforSimulatingContinuousRandomVariables
10.2.1 TheInverseTransformationMethod
10.2.2 TheRejectionMethod
10.3 SimulatingfromDiscreteDistributions
10.4 VarianceReductionTechniques
10.4.1 UseofAntitheticVariables
10.4.2 VarianceReductionbyConditioning
10.4.3 ControlVariates
Summary
Problems
Self-TestProblemsandExercises
Reference
AnswerstoSelectedProblems
SolutionstoSelf-TestProblemsandExercises
Index