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3mo sTo_ney
cover

Book

The Dictator's Handbook
Google Books
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita / Alastair Smith publishing house: PublicAffairs 2022 - 4
Now featuring a new chapter on the rise of illiberalism worldwide. As featured in the viral video “Rules for Rulers,” which has been viewed over fifteen million times. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith’s canonical book on political science turned conventional wisdom on its head. They started from a single assertion: leaders do whatever keeps them in power. They don’t care about the “national interest”—or even their subjects—unless they must. Newly updated to reflect the global rise of authoritarianism, this clever and accessible book illustrates how leaders amass and retain power. As Bueno de Mesquita and Smith show, democracy is essentially just a convenient fiction. Governments do not differ in kind, but only in the number of essential supporters or backs that need scratching. The size of this group determines almost everything about politics: what leaders can get away with, and the quality of life or misery under them. And it is also the key to returning power to the people.

读过 The Dictator's Handbook 🌕🌕🌕🌑🌑
之前读过前半,最开头的框架的提出让我印象深刻,这次重读依然是很喜欢,但是读到后面就觉得乏味了,心态在觉得例子不贴切而感到烦闷和偶尔的亮点感到新奇之间来回摇摆,很多时候的例子是为了举例子而举例子,脱离了一开始提的essential(winning coalition)、influential、interchangeable的框架。

最让我绷不住的是古巴的例子,古巴医疗发展速度跟不上那是因为独裁吗,美国你自己没有数吗。这里美国显然是出于意识形态制裁的,而不是出于对独裁的惩罚,因为美国确实同时期支持了很多独裁者,老蒋、朴卡卡、非洲仁君一抓一大把。

有过一个让我绷不住的例子之后,看每个例子都心理有点犯怵,生怕又被糊弄了。不过也让我反思,框架这种东西可以脑内思考起来非常有解释力,但是实际代入事件就很难说能解释得了几分了,这也不该是作者的错。

sTo_ney
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